Football Projections (Week 10)

Top 25

#7 Florida vs. #8 Georgia (+5.5)
Florida 38 Georgia 31 (Florida covers)

#1 Texas at #5 Texas Tech (+6)
Texas 42 Texas Tech 34 (Texas covers)

SEC Games

Kentucky at Mississippi State (-3)
Kentucky 20 Mississippi State 13 (Kentucky covers)

Tennessee at South Carolina (-6.5)
South Carolina 21 Tennessee 10 (South Carolina covers)

Auburn at Ole Miss (-5.5)
Ole Miss 20 Auburn 14 (Ole Miss covers)

#18 Tulsa at Arkansas (+6.5)
Tulsa 34 Arkansas 21 (Tulsa covers)

Tulane at #15 LSU (-25.5)
LSU 31 Tulane 10 (Tulane covers)

Arkansas State at #2 Alabama (-23.5)
Alabama 41 Arkansas State 13 (Alabama covers)

Games Involving Utah Schools

Hawaii at Utah State (+7.5)
Hawaii 31 Utah State 21 (Hawaii covers)

#9 Utah at New Mexico (+7.5)
Utah 28 New Mexico 20 (Utah covers)

#17 Brigham Young at Colorado State (+14)
BYU 38 Colorado State 10 (BYU covers)

Portland State at Weber State (No line)
Weber State 35 Portland State 20

FCS Playoff Projections (After Oct. 25th)

My apologies for missing my usual weekly college football predictions. Work has been pretty time consuming lately. Here are my predictions for the FCS Playoffs. Again, note that these projections are based upon how I think the conference races will end-up, rather than how they stand as of now.

Auto-bids
Big Sky - Weber State
Colonial - James Madison
MEAC - South Carolina State
Missouri Valley - Northern Iowa
Ohio Valley - Tennessee-Martin
Patriot - Lafayette
Southern - Appalachian State
Southland - Texas State

At-large
Wofford (Southern)
Montana (Big Sky)
Cal Poly (Great West)
Villanova (Colonial)
New Hampshire (Colonial)
Richmond (Colonial)
Elon (Southern)
Southern Illinois (Missouri Valley)

Match-ups
South Carolina State at #1 James Madison

Elon at Northern Iowa

Texas State at #4 Weber State

Southern Illinois at New Hampshire

Richmond at #3 Wofford

Cal Poly at Montana

Tennessee-Martin at #2 Appalachian State

Lafayette at Villanova

FCS Playoff Projections (After Oct. 18th)

Here's my first stab at projecting the FCS Playoffs for the 2008 season. Note that these projections are based upon how I think the conference races will end-up, rather than how they stand as of now.

Auto-bids
Big Sky - Weber State
Colonial - James Madison
MEAC - Hampton
Missouri Valley - Northern Iowa
Ohio Valley - Tennessee State
Patriot - Lafayette
Southern - Appalachian State
Southland - McNeese State

At-large
Montana (Big Sky)
Villanova (Colonial)
Cal Poly (Great West)
Elon (Southern)
Northern Arizona (Big Sky)
Richmond (Colonial)
Wofford (Southern)
New Hampshire (Colonial)

Match-ups
Hampton at #1 James Madison

Northern Arizona at Northern Iowa

Cal Poly at #4 Montana

Elon at Richmond

Lafayette at #3 Villanova

Wofford at Weber State

Tennessee State at #2 Appalachian State

New Hampshire at McNeese State

Week 8 Prediction Results

Straight-up: 10-2 (0.833)
Against-the-spread: 8-3 (1 game had "No Line") (0.727)

On the year:

Straight-up: 79-20 (0.798)
Against-the-spread: 46-37 (16 games had "No Line") (0.554)

Football Predictions (Week 8)

Again, no commentary. Sorry for that :( Also, I completely forgot that BYU played (and then lost) on Thursday night against TCU. I would've picked them to win and probably to cover, so I'll just chalk that one up as a loss straight-up and against the spread.

Top 25

#11 Ohio State at #17 Michigan State (+3)
Ohio State 21 Michigan State 17 (Ohio State covers)

#15 Kansas at #6 Oklahoma (-17.5)
Oklahoma 42 Kansas 28 (Kansas covers)

#12 Missouri at #1 Texas (-7)
Texas 38 Missouri 30 (Texas covers)

#23 Vanderbilt at #9 Georgia (-15)
Georgia 28 Vanderbilt 17 (Vandy covers)

#24 TCU at #8 BYU
Forgot this one, count it as a loss for me :)

SEC Games

Arkansas at Kentucky (-11.5)
Kentucky 28 Arkansas 21 (Arkansas covers)

Mississippi State at Tennessee (-8.5)
Mississippi State 17 Tennessee 14 (Mississippi State covers)

#14 LSU at South Carolina (+3.5)
LSU 38 South Carolina 10 (LSU covers)

Ole Miss at #2 Alabama (-13.5)
Alabama 31 Ole Miss 13 (Alabama covers)

Games Involving Utah Schools

Colorado State at #13 Utah (-23)
Utah 35 Colorado State 10 (Utah covers)

Utah State at Nevada (-19)
Nevada 38 Utah State 17 (Nevada covers)

Northern Colorado at Weber State (No line)
Weber State 40 Northern Colorado 14

Week 7 Prediction Results

Straight-up: 7-6 (0.538)
Against-the-spread: 4-8 (1 game had "No Line") (0.333)

On the year:

Straight-up: 69-18 (0.793)
Against-the-spread: 38-34 (15 games had "No Line") (0.528)

Football Predictions (Week 7)

Due to time constraints (thanks to my job), no commentary this week. Here are my predictions:

Top 25

#19 Michigan State at #22 Northwestern (+3)
Michigan State 35 Northwestern 20 (Michigan State covers)

#5 Texas vs. #1 Oklahoma (-6.5)
Oklahoma 31 Texas 20 (Oklahoma covers)

#17 Oklahoma State at #2 Missouri (-13.5)
Missouri 42 Oklahoma State 20 (Missouri covers)

#6 Penn State at #24 Wisconsin (+4.5)
Penn State 24 Wisconsin 17 (Penn State covers)

#3 LSU at #12 Florida (-4)
LSU 28 Florida 24 (LSU covers)


SEC Games

South Carolina at Kentucky (-1)
Kentucky 20 South Carolina 17 (Kentucky covers)

#14 Vanderbilt at Mississippi State (+1)
Vanderbilt 20 Mississippi State 14 (Vandy covers)

Tennessee at #10 Georgia (-13)
Georgia 31 Tennessee 10 (Georgia covers)

Arkansas at #23 Auburn (-19)
Auburn 17 Arkansas 6 (Arkansas covers)


Games Involving Utah Schools

#13 Utah at Wyoming (+23)
Utah 31 Wyoming 14 (Wyoming covers)

New Mexico at #8 BYU (-23)
BYU 42 New Mexico 10 (BYU covers)

Utah State at San Jose State (-15.5)
San Jose State 31 Utah State 14 (San Jose State covers)

Weber State at Montana State (No line)
Weber State 28 Montana State 24

Week 6 Prediction Results

Straight-up: 8-2 (0.800)
Against-the-spread: 4-5 (1 game had "No Line") (0.444)

On the year:

Straight-up: 62-12 (0.838)
Against-the-spread: 34-26 (14 games had "No Line") (0.567)

Football Predictions (Week 6)

I accidently forgot to post this yesterday afternoon.  

Top 25

#20 Oregon at #9 USC (-16.5)

USC looks to rebound from its loss to Oregon State and Oregon looks to redeem its season after losing to Boise State two weeks ago.  This could be the de facto Pac-10 championship game...

USC 34  Oregon 13  (USC covers)

#12 Ohio State at #17 Wisconsin (+2.5)

If either of these teams harbors national title hopes, this game serves basically as an elimination game.  If Ohio State loses, they will still be in the Big Ten race, but if Wisconsin falls, they may find it difficult to rebound from two conference losses.  

Ohio State 24  Wisconsin 20  (Ohio State covers)

#14 Auburn at #19 Vanderbilt (+3.5)

A few weeks ago it would have been difficult to imagine that this game would be between two ranking foes and that Vandy would come into the match-up undefeated.  Vandy needs to find two more wins for bowl eligibility, while Auburn needs to find some sort of offensive consistency.  A tough pick, but...

Auburn 17  Vanderbilt 10  (Auburn covers)

SEC Games

#13 Florida at Arkansas (+22)

Arkansas' nightmare season continues.  Now a "bask" (Yes, I looked up the name for a group of Gators) of angry Gators come to Fayetteville after their shocking loss to Ole Miss.  Don't look for a Hogs upset...

Florida 49  Arkansas 14  (Florida covers)

Kentucky at #4 Alabama (-16.5)

Bama slammed Georgia on the road last week to continue their climb up the polls and into the national spotlight.  Kentucky has quietly gone undefeated against a weak schedule and came within 1-yard of falling to Middle Tennessee State.  The step up in competition should come as a shock to the Wildcats...

Alabama 34  Kentucky 13  (Alabama covers)

South Carolina at Ole Miss (-2)

Ole Miss pulled off a shocker last week by knocking off the Gators on the road.  South Carolina has been dismal this season, particularly on offense...

Ole Miss 20  South Carolina 10  (Ole Miss covers)

Northern Illinois at Tennessee (-16)

Tennessee has struggled mightily while limping to a 2-2 record.  Northern Illinois is probably better than expected, but faces a tough task in Knoxville.  The Huskies have won in the SEC before (see NIU versus Alabama in 2003), so an upset wouldn't be unprecedented.

Tennessee 31  Northern Illinois 10 (Tennessee c0vers)

Games Involving Utah Schools

#7 BYU at Utah State (+28.5)

BYU keeps on winning and has positioned itself to play a role in the BCS saga as the season unfolds.  Utah State shocked me by actually winning a game two weeks ago against Idaho.  This one probably won't be pretty...

BYU 52  Utah State 10 (BYU covers)

Oregon State at #15 Utah (-10.5)

Oregon State shocked the college football world by knocking off then-#1 USC in front of a national ESPN audience.  An undefeated Utah continues to lurk on the outside of the BCS picture, but appears to be weaker than Mountain West rival BYU.  Can the Beavers continue their momentum from last week and repeat last year's win over the Utes?

Utah 27  Oregon State 20  (Oregon State covers)

Montana at Weber State (No line)

Weber, after a respectable loss at Utah, comes home to face a challenge from FCS #3 Montana.  Weber has played the Grizzlies close the last two seasons, but has been unable to come away with a win.  Montana, while highly ranked, seems vulnerable after several close contests this season.  Let's the roll the dice and...

Weber State 31  Montana 30